The social phenomenon of Arbaeen, despite its breadth across Iran, does not have the same behavioral pattern in all provinces, and the level of popular participation differs depending on cultural and geographic variables. For a deeper understanding of this spatial distribution, analysis of absolute numbers alone is not sufficient; rather, the ratio of each province's pilgrims to the total population of that region must be measured.
Namafar, by crossing the statistics on pilgrim dispatch in 1404 (2025/26) with the country's demographic data, has examined the provincial distribution of Iranian participants with an analytical approach. The results of this research method show that although Tehran Province, by sending more than 500 thousand pilgrims, holds the highest absolute figure, a different picture is created in the indicator of "number of pilgrims per thousand population."
In this analytical indicator, Qom Province, by recording the astonishing figure of 126 pilgrims per thousand people, is the country's undisputed leader. After Qom, Khuzestan Province, by sending about 440 thousand people and recording an indicator of 93 pilgrims per thousand people, stands in second place, and Isfahan and Khorasan Razavi provinces occupy the next places. This statistical approach is clear evidence that Qom and Khuzestan provinces, taking their population weight into account, are the densest centers of social-capital generation in the setting of this event.
See the original infographic (Persian)
Machine-translated from Persian by Namafar; the Persian original is authoritative. Read the original in Persian